Kerala Experiences a Calm Monsoon This August

quick Summary

• Kerala experienced a steady and normal southwest monsoon this year, with reduced extreme rainfall events compared to previous years.
• Total rainfall for the first three months of the season measured 1,550.2 mm, slightly below the average of 1,759 mm but within IMD’s acceptable deviation range (±19%).
• Thunderstorm activity decreased due to stratus clouds dominating over cumulonimbus clouds during the active spell of monsoon.
• August saw a 20% shortfall in rainfall with 355.8 mm recorded compared to the average 445.2 mm; significant improvement from flood years like 2018 (820.9 mm) and 2019 (950.5 mm).
• IMD forecasts near-normal or below-normal rainfall in September as moisture-triggering systems will likely favor north-central India instead of Kerala.

Indian Opinion Analysis

The monsoon’s steadiness this year is a positive development for Kerala, marking a reduction in extreme weather events that previously led to flash floods and damage during past Augusts. Though overall rainfall was slightly below average (12% deficit), it remains within accepted limits defined by meteorological standards, ensuring hydrological stability for agricultural activities and water management systems.

Additionally, diminished thunderstorm activity signifies fewer disruptions that can impact daily life and infrastructure. however, IMD’s forecast suggests reduced precipitation trends for September due to moisture patterns favorable elsewhere-a factor requiring monitoring by stakeholders in agriculture and water resource planning.Kerala’s ability to balance its ecological vulnerabilities with preparedness against potential variability may serve as an crucial case study as climate uncertainty continues globally.

Read more: https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala