Tesla VP Lars Moravy has said that the Tesla Cybercab will use a 50 kWh battery pack and still get 300 miles of range. If this range can be achieved with Iron LFP batteries then the battery pack will cost $2000-2500. Battery packs are about 20% of the cost of the car. This would put Cybercab costs in the $10k-12.5k range.
Elon Musk said at the Tesla All Hands that Cybercabs could be produced every 5 seconds. This compares to Tesla Shanghai Model Y produced every 35 seconds. Two Tesla Shanghai model Y lines are able to produce 26,000 Model Y each week with full out 140 hour per week production. Forty weeks of production would be 1 million Model Y per year from just two Shanghai lines.
Two lines of Cybercab producing at one every 5 seconds could achieve 178,000 Cybercabs per week. Forty weeks of production would be 7 million Model Y per year.
Tesla talked about producing 2 million Cybercabs for a line in 2026. Tesla will have been sandbagging Cybercab production if the one every 5 seconds is correct. The drop in production costs will also massively increase the demand and profitability of Cybercabs.
Ark Invest is tracking the compute Tesla is using for FSD training and how this will enable safer than human driving by October, 2025.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
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