CBO Forecasts Tariffs Will Reduce US Deficits by $4 Trillion from 2025-2035

IO_AdminUncategorized17 hours ago6 Views

The CBO (Congressional Budget Office) projecst that increases in tariffs implemented during the period from January 6, 2025, to August 19 will decrease primary deficits (which exclude net outlays for interest) by $3.3 trillion if the higher tariffs persist for the 2025‒2035 period. This will also reduce federal outlays for interest by an additional $0.7 trillion. As a result, the changes in tariffs will reduce total deficits by $4.0 trillion altogether.

Those estimates are larger than the $2.5 trillion decrease in primary deficits and $0.5 trillion reduction in interest outlays that the CBO projected in early June in a report that examined the effects of the tariffs implemented between January 6 and May 13, 2025.

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