Monsoon Rains 7% Above Normal, Unevenly Distributed

Rapid Summary

• India has received 7% above normal rainfall (447.8 mm vs. 418.9 mm) since June 1, as per IMD data.
• Rainfall distribution is uneven across states and regions:

– Large Excess: Rajasthan (+92%), Ladakh (+181%), Sikkim (+78%), Nagaland, and Manipur.- Example: Rajasthan recorded 384.7 mm compared to the usual 200.4 mm.
– Ladakh saw unusually high rainfall at 30 mm versus its normal of 10.7 mm.
– Sikkim reached a total of 598.4 mm, up by nearly half compared to expectations.

• Excess Rainfall noted in Madhya Pradesh (+54%), Gujarat (+35%), dadra & Nagar Haveli/Daman & Diu (+27%).
• most other states experienced “normal” rainfall levels within ±19% of average values; these include Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal among others.
• Deficient Rainfall:

– Arunachal Pradesh (-45%) recorded only half its usual precipitation (521.8 mm against normal of 942.2 mm).
– Bihar showed a similar shortfall with rainfall down by over one-third at just 272mm – (-43% below usual figures).

• Previous IMD forecasts in May predicted India would generally experience “above-normal” monsoon across most territories but identified pockets likely facing lesser accumulations like Ladakh or northeast.

Monsoon rains remain integral for India’s critical agricultural economy contributing supporting both GDP’s production fabric-beta impacts(domestic utility rain system inter linking).

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