The escalation in US activity amid the ongoing Iran-Israel war adds pressure to an already strained Middle Eastern region. If Iran closes the vital Strait of Hormuz as threatened, consequences for global energy security will be important-especially for nations heavily reliant on imported crude such as India. Tho India’s diversified supply chains mitigate immediate challenges per statements by Union Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri, prolonged disruptions could spike fuel prices domestically.
Additionally, Trump’s use of tariffs prior to this crisis disrupted global trade substantially-including impacts on Indian exporters-and magnified underlying economic vulnerabilities. Rising costs tied to geopolitics like this increase risks not just for India but across interconnected economies grappling with inflationary pressures amidst uncertain recovery trajectories post-pandemic.
india must monitor developments closely while reinforcing strategies around energy diversification and economic resilience against geopolitical uncertainties that ripple through international markets.